Agenda and presentations for the

11th Annual George Mason University Conference
on "Atmospheric Transport and Dispersion Modeling"

July 10-12, 2007
Fairfax, Virginia, U.S.A.



Page last updated:
13:40 EST, July 13, 2007


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All Sessions will be held at Room 80, Enterprise Hall

George Mason University

Fairfax, Virginia, U.S.A.

THEMES: 1) Improve understanding of atmospheric transport and dispersion processes, 2) Support homeland security requirements, and 3) Share experience across different sectors.


DAY 1 - TUESDAY, JULY 10, 2007

(7:30 – ALL DAY) REGISTRATION

(7:30 – 9:30) CONTINENTAL BREAKFAST

(8:15 – 8:30) INTRODUCTIONS

Session 1 – Sensor Data Fusion & Source Detection

Session Chair - J. F. Bowers (Dugway Proving Ground)

(8:30 – 8:45) Efficient Sensor Placement in a CBRN Environment

D. Strickland* & V. Rapley
*Defence Science and Technology Laboratory, Porton Down, Salisbury, United Kingdom

(8:45 – 9:00) Source Estimation Using SCIPUFF Tangent-Linear Adjoint Model

O. O. Oluwole* & R. C. Miake-Lye
*Aerodyne Research Inc., Billerica, MA

(9:00 – 9:15) Applying a Genetic Algorithm to Identify Source and Meteorological Data Characteristics

K. J. Long*, S. E. Haupt & G. S. Young
*The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA

(9:15 – 9:30) Real Time Source Term Estimation in Complex Environments

V. E. Rapley* & P. Robins
*Defence Science and Technology Laboratory, Porton Down, Salisbury, United Kingdom

(9:30 – 9:45) Assimilating Sensor Concentration Data into a Dispersion Model in a Meandering Flow Field

S. E. Haupt*, G. S. Young, A. Beyer & K. J. Long
*The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA

(9:45 – 10:00) Reconstruction of an Accidental Atmospheric Release at Continental Scale via Bayesian Inference and Markov Chain Monte Carlo Sampling

L. D. Monache*, J. K. Lundquist, B. Kosovic, G. Johannesson, K. M. Dyer, R. D. Aines, F. K. Chow, R. D. Belles, W. G. Hanley, S. C. Larsen, G. A. Loosmore, J. J. Nitao, G. A. Sugiyama & P. J. Vogt
*Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA

(10:00 – 10:30) COFFEE BREAK

Session 2 - Model Evaluation & Uncertainty Studies

Session Chair - J. Chang (George Mason University)

(10:30 – 10:45) Quantitative Prediction of Shelter-In-Place Effectiveness

P. N. Price*, R. Chan, W. W. Nazaroff & A. J. Gadgil
*Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA

(10:45 – 11:00) Evaluation of HPAC with the JU2003 Tracer Observations

J. White, S. Hanna, J. Chang & J. Bowers
*Dugway Proving Ground, Dugway, UT

(11:00 – 11:15) Using NWP Ensembles to Improve Dispersion Forecasts Using SCIPUFF

J. A. Lee*,J. Peltier, S. E. Haupt, J. C. Wyngaard, D. R. Stauffer, A. Deng & J. R. Zielonka
*The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA

(11:15 – 11:30) Development of a particle method for PDF modeling of dispersion with finite elements

J. Bakosi, P. Franzese & Z. Boybeyi
*George Mason University, Fairfax, VA

(11:30 – 11:45) A Probabilistic Model for Risk Sectors in an Urban Area

E. Fattal*, Z. Klausner & H. Kaplan
*Israel Institute for Biological Research, Israel

(11:45 – 12:00) Mesoscale Transport and Dispersion Uncertainty Assessment using Data Mining

G. Cervone*, P. Franzese, Y. Ezber & Z. Boybeyi
*George Mason University, Fairfax, VA

(12:00 – 1:30) LUNCH BREAK

Session 3 - Model Evaluation & Uncertainty Studies (Con’t)

Session Chair - T. Yamada (Yamada Science & Art Corporation)

(1:30 – 1:45) SCIPUFF Sensitivity to Meteorological Uncertainty Data

W. Kolczynski*, D. R. Stauffer, S. E. Haupt & A. Deng
*The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA

(1:45 – 2:00) Wind Forecast Method Using Ensemble of Observed Similar Days

Z. Klausner, E. Fattal & H. Kaplan
*Israel Institute for Biological Research, Israel

(2:00 – 2:15) Using Monte-Carlo Simulation to Determine Confidence Areas for WebPuff

S. A. Stage
Innovative Emergency Management, Baton Rouge, LA

(2:15 – 2:30) Evaluation of Roughness Parameters for Oklahoma City from JU2003 Tower Data

S. Chang* & G. Huynh
*Army Research Laboratory, Adelphi, MD

(2:30 – 2:45) Uncertainty Propagation and Sensitivity Analysis for CFD Simulations of Accidental Release on a Nuclear Power Plant

E. Demael*, D. Bilbaut & B. Carissimo
*CEREA (Teaching and Research Centre in Atmospheric Environment), France

(2:45 – 3:00) Development of Model- and Application-Specific Validation Data Sets for LES-Based Microscale Flow and Dispersion Models

B. Leitl*, F. Harms, I. Herbst, G. Patnaik, M. Schatzmann & J. Boris
*University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany

(3:00 – 3:30) COFFEE BREAK

Session 4 - Model Evaluation & Uncertainty Studies (Con’t)

Session Chair - S. R. Hanna (Harvard School of Public Health)

(3:30 – 3:45) Assessment of MESO/RUSTIC Urban Modeling Capabilities Using Data from the Joint Urban 2003 Field Experiment

J. T. Urban*, N. Plant, S. Warner & J. F. Heagy
*Institute for Defense Analyses, Alexandria, VA

(3:45 – 4:00) QUIC-URB/QUIC-PLUME Predictions of Joint Urban 2003 Tracer Releases

J. Heagy*, N. Plant, J. T. Urban & S. Warner
*Institute for Defense Analyses, Alexandria, VA

(4:00 – 4:15) Evaluation of JEM with Historical Live Agent Test Data

J. C. Chang*, H. Tang & Z. Boybeyi
*George Mason University, Fairfax, VA

(4:15 – 4:30) Urban Transport & Dispersion – Uncertainty, Evaluation, and Probabilistic Methods

M. J. Brown
Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM

(4:30 – 4:45) A Virtual Threat Response Emulation and Analysis Testbed (VHREAT)

G. Bieberbach*, M. Raines, A. Wyszogradzki, J. Weil, P. Bieringer & R-S. Sheu
*National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder CO

(4:45 – 5:00) Characteristics of Liquified Pressurized Chlorine Released from Storage Tanks

S. Hanna
Hanna Consultants, Kennebunkport, ME

(5:00 – 6:00) HAPPY HOUR

DAY 2, WEDNESDAY, JULY 11, 2007

(7:30 – ALL DAY) REGISTRATION (CON’T)

(7:30 – 9:30) CONTINENTAL BREAKFAST

Session 5 – Mesoscale Transport & Dispersion Studies

Session Chair - R. D. Bornstein (San Jose State University)

(8:30 – 8:45) The Statistical Behavior of Mesoscale Meandering and Influence on Dispersion for Stable Conditions

L. Mahrt* & D. Vickers
*Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR

(8:45 – 9:00) Can We Use Commercial Data from a Surface Network?

B. B. Hicks
Metcorps, Norris, TN

(9:00 – 9:15) Simulations of Convection in Stable and Neutral Atmosphere in Three Dimensions

N. N. Ahmad* & J. Lindeman
*Science Application International Corp., Mclean, VA

(9:15 – 9:30) CAMx simulations of Middle-East trans boundary transport by use of RAMS and MM5 input

E. Weinroth*, S. Kasakseh & R. D. Bornstein
*San Jose State University, San Jose, CA

(9:30 – 9:45) An Operational Mesoscale Observing System in an Urban, Coastal Setting

J. Titlow
WeatherFlow Inc., Poquoson, VA

(9:45 – 10:00) Urbanized MM5 simulations for a Houston ozone episode and for the NYC DHS MSG tracer study

R. D. Bornstein*, R. Balmori, E. Weinroth & H. Taha
*San Jose State University, San Jose, CA

(10:00 – 10:30) COFFEE BREAK

Session 6 – Mesoscale Transport & Dispersion Studies (Con’t)

Session Chair - K. S. Rao (NOAA/ATDD, Oak Ridge)


(10:30 – 10:45) Comparison of Observed, MM5 and WRF-NMM Model-Simulated, and HPAC-Assumed Boundary Layer Meteorological Variables for Three Days during the IHOP Field Experiment

S. Hanna*, E. Hendrick, L. Santos, B. Reen, D. Stauffer, A. J. Deng, J. McQueen, M. Tsidulko & I. Sykes
*Hanna Consultants, Kennebunkport, ME

(10:45 – 11:00) Review of Newtonian-Relaxation as a Data-Assimilation Method in Mesoscale Models Used to Provide Input to T&D and CFD Models

T. Warner* & D. Stauffer
*National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO

(11:00 – 11:15) Simulating Local Dust Dispersion from Field Agriculture Operations

J. Wang*, A. L. Hiscox, D. R. Miller, T. W. Sammis, W. Yang & B. A. Holmen
*New Mexico State University, Las Cruces, NM

(11:15 – 11:30) Dispersion Modeling with Uncertain Wind Conditions

A. Beyer*, G. S. Young & S. E. Haupt
*The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA

(11:30 – 11:45) Mesoscale Model Grid Spacing Impacts on SLAM (Short-range Layered Atmospheric Model) Dispersion Results

R. Evans*, J. Dreher & M. Kienzle
*ENSCO Inc., Melbourne, FL

(11:45 – 12:00) Typical Day Meteorological Inputs for ATD Modeling

T. Nehrkorn*, S. Lowe, R. N. Hoffman & G. Modica
*Atmospheric and Environmental Research Inc., Lexington, MA

(12:00 – 12:15) Transport and Dispersion Modeling in Coastal and Littoral Regions

K. S. Rao* & R. F. Kamada
*NOAA/ATDD, Oak Ridge, TN

(12:15 – 1:30) LUNCH BREAK

Special OFCM Session 7 – Benefits of Joint Urban Test Beds

Session Chair - Walter Bach (Army Research Office)

(1:30 – 1:45) Overview of OFCM National Joint Urban Test Bed Concept of Operations

Walter Bach, Jr.
Army Research Office

(1:45 – 2:00) Urban Test Beds: NOAA/ARL's National Capital Region Experience

William Pendergrass
NOAA/ARL

(2:00 – 2:15) NUDAPT: Enabling Advanced Urban Meteorology, Dispersion and Air Quality Modeling with high Resolution Urban Databases and Access Portal Tools

Jason Ching & Adel Hanna
EPA

(2:15 – 2:30) Applying Joint Urban Test Bed Results to the Meteorological Needs of the Army

Dennis Garvey
DoD/U.S. Army

(2:30 – 2:45) A Responder View of Urban Test Beds

Mr. Mark Miller
NOAA

(2:45 – 3:00) Opportunities for Satellite and Aircraft Remote Sensing within a Joint Urban Test Bed

Michael Jasinski
NASA

(3:00 – 3:30) COFFEE BREAK

Session 8 – Local/Urban Scale Transport & Dispersion Studies

Session Chair - B. Hicks (Metcorps)


(3:30 – 3:45) Fast-Response Dense Gas Modeling around Buildings and Over Topography

M. D. Williams*, M. Nelson, K. Werley & M. J. Brown
*Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM

(3:45 – 4:00) Micro SWIFT/SPRAY (MSS) Status

T. Harris*, C. Dougherty, R. Vernot, J. Brazel, Z. Boybeyi, J. Moussafir & O. Oldrini
*Science Application International Corporation, King of Prussia, PA

(4:00 – 4:15) A Lagrangian Particle Model for Transport and Diffusion in Complex Terrain Domain

H. Kaplan* & E. Fattal
*Israel Institute for Biological Research, Israel

(4:15 – 4:30) TKE Ellipsoid Orientations within Urban Roughness Sublayers

C. Klipp
U.S. Army Research Laboratory, Adelphi, MD

(4:30 – 4:45) Statistical Representativeness of Puff Dispersion Data Measured in a Complex Urban Environment

F. Harms*, B. Leitl*, I. Herbst, G. Patnaik, M. Schatzmann & J. Boris
*University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany

(4:45 – 5:00) Characteristics of the Turbulent Velocity Field Above and in Urban Canopies

P. Huq*, L. White & S. Dharmavaram
*University of Delaware, Newark, DE

5:00 ADJOURN (End of the Second Day)

DAY 3, THURSDAY, JULY 12, 2007

(7:30 – ALL DAY) REGISTRATION (CON’T)

(7:30 – 9:30) CONTINENTAL BREAKFAST

Session 9 – CFD Model Studies

Session Chair - W. Coirier (CFD Research Corporation)

(8:30 – 8:45) Numerical Simulation of the Flow Field Generated by a Heated Wall of a Large Hall

Y. Radzyner* & E. Gavze
*Israel Institute for Biological Research, Israel

(8:45 – 9:00) Numerical Simulations of Air Flows and Transport in the Exterior And Interior of Buildings in Complex Terrain

T. Yamada
*Yamada Science & Art Corporation, Santa Fe, NM

(9:00 – 9:15) Comparison of FAST3D-CT Simulations with JU2003 IOP8
M. Y. Lee*, T. R. Young Jr. & G. Patnaik

*Berkeley Research Associates, Beltsville, MD

(9:15 – 9:30) Coupling Computational Fluid Dynamic Models (CFD) and Geographic Information Systems (GIS)

F. E. Camelli*, D. W. Wong, M. D. Sonwalkar & R. Löhner
*George Mason University, Fairfax, VA

(9:30 – 9:45) CFD and Wind-Tunnel Studies on Gaseous Diffusion from a Stack Attached to a Building

S. Iizuka*, N. Maeyama, H. Kondo, A. Hori, K. Mutou, S. Sakamoto & T. Mizuno
*National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology, Ibaraki, Japan

(9:45 – 10:00) Progress towards a Coupled Mesoscale and Microscale Modeling Capability

W. J. Coirier*, S. Kim, S. Marella, J. Mayes, F. Chen, J. Michalakes, S. Miao & M. Bettencourt
*CFD Research Corporation, Hunstville, AL

(10:00 – 10:30) COFFEE BREAK

Session 10 – Local/Urban Scale Transport & Dispersion Studies (Con’t)

Session Chair - Veronica Rapley (Defence Science and Technology Laboratory, United Kingdom)

(10:30 – 10:45) SWIFT and MSS Current Developments

J. Moussafir, D. Buty, C. Olry, M. Nibart, A. Albergel, G. Tinarelli, D. Anfossi, O. Oldrini, T. Harris & C. Dougherty
*ARIA Technologies, France

(10:45 – 11:00) Measurements of Static Stability in the Roughness and Inertial Sublayers of an Urban Boundary Layer

D. M. Garvey
U.S. Army Research Laboratory, Adelphi, MD

(11:00 – 11:15) The Effects of HPAC Model Predictions of Daytime Boundary Layer Differences over Oklahoma City

J. M. White*, S. R. Hanna & J. F. Bowers
*Dugway Proving Ground, Dugway, UT

(11:15 – 11:30) Atmospheric Flow Decoupling in Salt Lake City during URBAN 2000

K. L. Clawson*, D. D. Finn, J. D. Rich, R. G. Carter & K. J. Allwine
* NOAA Air Resources Laboratory Field Research Division, Idaho Falls, ID

(11:30 – 11:45) The Chemical Threat Analysis Planner

M. Miller
National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration

(11:45 – 12:00) CW Agent Toxicity and the Toxic Load Model

D. R. Sommerville
US Army Edgewood CB Center, Aberdeen Proving Ground, MD

(12:00 – 1:30) LUNCH BREAK

Session 11 – Local/Urban Scale Transport & Dispersion Studies (Con’t)

Session Chair - Mike Brown (Los Alamos National Laboratory)

(1:30 – 1:45) Modeling a Hypothetical Chlorine Release on PSU Campus

F. J. Zajaczkowski*, S. E. Haupt, K. J. Long & J. J. Peltier
*The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA

(1:45 – 2:00) A Generalized Flow Model for Air Flow within and Above Canopies

Y. Bohbot-Raviv & H. Kaplan
*Israel Institute for Biological Research, Israel

(2:00 – 2:15) Wind Profiles in Gentle Terrains and Vegetative Canopies for a 3D Wind Field (3DWF) Model

Y. Wang* & R. Cionco
*US Army Research Laboratory, Adelphi, MD

(2:15 – 2:30) Extension of HPAC Capabilities

E. Johnson
Battelle Memorial Institute, Columbus, OH

(2:30 – 2:45) Evaporation from Neighboring Droplets

E. Gavze*, R. Reichman & S. Pistinner
*Israel Institute for Biological Research, Israel

(2:45 – 3:00) Observation and Modeling of Turbulent Spectra within the Canopy Trunk Space of an Alpine Hardwood Forest

D. Cava* & G. G. Katul
*Institute of Atmosphere Sciences and Climate, Lecce, Italy

(3:00 – 3:30) COFFEE BREAK

Session 12 – Local/Urban Scale Transport & Dispersion Studies (Con’t)

Session Chair - Zafer Boybeyi (George Mason University)

(3:30 – 3:45) On the Use of Gridded Meteorological Data in the AERMOD Dispersion Model

R. W. Brode*, C. R. Tillerson & J. O. Paumier
*EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC

(3:45 – 4:00) A Risk Assessment Study for the Strait of Istanbul

Z. Boybeyi*, Y. Ezber, G. Cervone & M. Karaca
*George Mason University, Fairfax, VA

(4:00 – 4:15) Intra-urban Weather Observations Data Correlation and Calibration using Microscale CFD Modeling

W. J. Coirier*, S. Kim, S. C. Ericson & S. Marella
*CFD Research Corporation, Hunstville, AL

(4:15 – 4:30) A Urban Boundary Layer and Dispersion Parameterization for the LLNL NARAC Modeling System: Preliminary Tests with the Joint Urban 2003 Field Project Data Set

L. D. Monache*, J. C. Weil, M. J. Leach, J. M. Leone & G. A. Loosmore
*Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA

(4:30 – 4:45) Measurements of Lateral and Vertical Concentration Profiles in Urban Canopies

P. Huq*, L. White & S. Dharmavaram
*University of Delaware, Newark, DE

4:45 ADJOURN (End of the Conference)

Session 13 - Poster Session

(P-1) Comparing Assimilation and Sensor Data Fusion Techniques for Dispersion Modeling

A. Annunzio*, S. E. Haupt & G. S. Young
*The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA

(P-2) A High Resolution CFD Simulation of the Atmospheric Boundary Layer

J. Stergiou*, S. E. Haupt & P. J. Morris
*The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA

(P-3) A Comprehensive Data Assimilation System for Probabilistic Fluid Transport and Dispersion

R. N. Hoffman, T. Nehrkorn, I. Szunyogh & E. Kalnay
*Atmospheric and Environmental Research, Inc., Lexington, MA

(P-4) Hazard Projection System of Intentional Attack in Urban Area

R. Ohba, A. Kouchi & T. Hara
*Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Nagasaki, Japan

(P-5) The Regime Dependence of Ensemble Model Consensus Forecasts and Implications for Transport and Dispersion

S. J. Greybush*, S. E. Haupt & G. S. Young
*The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA

(P-6) Large-Eddy Simulation for Visible Plume from a Wet Cooling Tower

T. Michioka* & K. Sada
*Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry, Chiba-ken, Japan

(P-7) Far-Field Mountain Waves Radiated from Nonlinear Orographic Flow Regimes

J. Lindeman*, D. Broutman, S. D. Eckermann, Z. Boybeyi, J. Ma & J. W. Rottman
*George Mason University, Fairfax, VA

(P-8) A Comparison Using a CFD Code and ADMS with Wind Tunnel Data for the Modelling of Dispersion around Nuclear Power Plant

E. Demael*, E. Gilbert & B. Carissimo
*CEREA (Teaching and Research Centre in Atmospheric Environment), France