Agenda and presentations for the

10th Annual George Mason University Conference
on "Atmospheric Transport and Dispersion Modeling"

August 1-3, 2006
Fairfax, Virginia, U.S.A.



Page (including cdimage) last updated:
9:00 EST, September 12, 2006


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  Theme:

All Sessions are held at Room 80, Enterprise Hall, the Fairfax campus of George Mason University

DAY 1, TUESDAY, AUG 1, 2006
(7:00 - All Day) Registration
(7:00 - 9:00) Continental Breakfast
(8:00 - 8:15) Introductions

Session 1 - Sensor Data Fusion & Source Detection
Session Chair - R. Ian Sykes (Titan Corporation)


(8:15 - 8:30) The Renormalization, a Non Bayesian Data Fustion Technique

J. P. Issartel

Centre d'Etudes du Bouchet, France

(8:30 - 8:45) Analyzing the Performance of a Sensor Network Using CT-Analyst
K. Obenschain
*Naval Research Laboratory, Washington, D.C.
 
(8:45 - 9:00) Event Reconstruction for Atmospheric Releases at the Continental Scale: A Case Study: May 1998, Algeciras, Spain

L. D. Monache* J. K. Lundquist, B. Kosovic & J. D. Mirocho
*Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA

(9:00 - 9:15) Improved Sampling for Sensor Placement
V. Rapley*, T. Graham & S. Taylor
*Defence Science and Technology Laboratory, United Kingdom

(9:15 - 9:30) A Sensor Placement Methodology
R. W. Lee & J. J. Julesz
*Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN

(9:30 - 9:45) CFD-Based Design Tool for Placing Sensors to Detect Releases in a Subway Station
E. Vinciguerra*, T. Psinakis, S. Wirogo & K. Khankari
*Lockheed Martin Corporation, Mitchel Field, NY

(9:45 - 10:00) Source Estimation Using Reverse Transport
R. I. Sykes
Titan Coproration, Princeton, NJ

(10:00 - 10:30) Coffee Break

Session 2 - Model Uncertainty Studies
Session Chair - David P. Bacon (Science Applications International Corporation)


(10:30 - 10:45) Comparison of Different Meteorological Options Used for Urban HPAC Predictions of Joint Urban 2003 Field Trials
N. Platt*, S. Warner, J. T. Urban & J. F. Heagy
*Institute for Defense Analyses, Alexandria, VA

(10:45 - 11:00) Uncertainty Mitigation in Meteorological Modeling for Future UK CBRN Warning and Reporting Systems
S. W. Parry* & O. J. Lanning 
  *Defence Science and Technology Laboratory, United Kingdom

(11:00 - 11:15) A Multi-Stakeholder Workshop on Communicating Uncertainty during a Chemical Release Incident
A. J. Maule*, R. E. Marshall, R. Meris, T. MAzzola & E. L. McLaughlin
*Leeds Universtiy, Leeds, United Kingdom

(11:15 - 11:30) A lower Bound for Prediction Uncertainty in Forecating Models
J. C. Kerce* & F. Vandenberghe
*Propagation Research Associates Inc., Marietta, GA

(11:30 - 11:45) Typical Day Meteorological Inputs for ATD Models
S. Lowe*, R. Hoffman & G. Seeley
*Atmospheric and Envirnmental Research Inc., Lexington, MA

(11:45 - 12:00) Toward a Practical Predictor of Error Covariance from Ensembles for Inclusion in Atmospheric Transport and Dispersion Models
 W. Kolcynski*, D. Stauffer, S. E. Haupt & M. Roulston
*Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA

(12:00 - 12:20 Invited Talk) Dispersion from and Ensemble is not the Ensemble of the Dispersion
D. P. Bacon*, J. E. Cockayne, R. M. Garrett & T. E. Miller
*Science Applications International Corporation, McLean, VA

(12:20 - 1:30) Lunch Break

Session 3 - CFD Model Studies
Session Chair - Ted Yamada (Yamada Science & Art Corporation)


(1:30 - 1:45) Computational Fluid Dynamics Modeling ofr Liquefied Natural Gas Vapor Dispersion
G. Eggenspieler*, M. Shahnam, M. Prinkey, K. Mahalatkar & E. D. Huckaby
*Fluent Inc., Morgantown, WV

(1:45 - 2:00) CFD Modeling of Concentration Fluctuations in an Idealized Urban Area
M. Milliez*, & B. Carissimo
*CEREA, France

(2:00 - 2:15) Micromixing Modeling for Large-Eddy Simulation of Dispersion on Complex Geometries
P. Franzese*, F. Camelli & M. Cassiani

*George Mason University, Fairfax, VA

(2:15 - 2:30) Using CT Analyst as an Integrated Tool for CBR Analysis
A. Moses*, K. Obenschain & J. Boris
*Naval Research Laboratory, Washington, D.C.

(2:30 - 2:45) Euler Solutions Using Flux Based Wave Decomposition
N. N. Ahmad
Science Applications International Corporation, McLean, VA

(2:45 - 3:00) Probability Density Function (PDF) Modeling of Inhomogeneous Turbulence
J. Bakosi*, Z. Boybeyi & P. Franzese
*George Mason Universtiy, Fairfax, VA


(3:00 - 3:15) Wind Tunnel Experiments and CFD Simulation of Gas Dispersion over Urban Terrain
M.-K. Park*. & W.-S. Shim
*Agency for Defense Development, Korea

(3:15 - 3:45) Coffee Break


Session 4 - Mesoscale Transport & Dispersion Studies
Session Chair - Jason Nachomkin (Naval Research Laboratory)


(3:45 - 4:00) Assessment and Removal of Rooftop Anemometer Observation Errors for use in Mesoscale NWP and T&D Applications
A. Wyszogrodzki, Y. Liu, R. S. Sheu, R. Sharman & T. Warner

National Center of Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO

(4:00 - 4:15) Development and Application of an Integrated Urban Modeling System for the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) Model
F. Chen*, M. Tewari, Y. Liu, T. Warner, H. Kusaka & W. J. Coirier
*
National Center of Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO

(4:15 - 4:30) Evaluation of the WRF-NMM Nested Grid Model for Use in Hazard and Consequence Assessment Operations during the 2006 Winter Olypmic Games
J. T. McQueen*, D. Jovic, S. G. Gopalakrishnam, H.-Y. Chuang, P.J. Hayes, Z. Janic & G. DiMego
*NOAA/NCEP Camp Spring, MD

(4:30 - 4:45) Estimates of Boundary Layer Profiles by Means of Ensemble-Filter Assimilation of Near Surface Observations in a Parametrized PBL
D. Rotskier-Edelstein*, J. Hacker & M. Pagowski
*National Center for Atmospheric Research, CO, Permanent: IIBR, Israel

(4:45 - 5:00) The Use of Coupled Mesoscale and LES Models for Calculating Urban Climatologies of Street Level and Boundary Layer Winds With Risk Assessment Implications
A. Wyszogrodzki*, F. Vendenbergher & T. Warner
*National Center for Atmospheric Research, CO

(5:00 - 5:15) The BueSky Smoke Modeling Framework and its Application to Real-Time Smoke Forecasting
N. K. Larkin*, R. Solomon & S. O'Neill
*USDA Forest Service, Seattle, WA


(5:15 - 5:30) Lagrangian and Eulerian Evaluation of Atmospheric Model Forecasts for Dispersion Applications
J. E. Nachamkin*, J. Cook, M. Frost, D. Martinez & G. Sprung
*Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA

(5:30-6:30) HAPPY HOUR
DAY 2, WEDNESDAY, AUG 2, 2006
(7:00 - All Day) Registration (Con't)
(7:00 - 9:00) Continental Breakfast

Session 5 - Urban Environment Monitoring & Data Analysis
Session Chair - James F. Bowers (Dugway Proving Ground)


(8:15 - 8:30) Overview of the Urban Dispersion Programs New York City Field Studies
J. Allwine
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA

(8:30 - 8:45) Measures of Enhanced Plume Dispersion from Urban Effects
 J. E. Flaherty* & J. Allwine
*Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA

(8:45 - 9:00) Fast Response Tracer Gas Dispersion from Puff Releases in a City
 Y. Zhou* & S. R. Hanna
*Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA

(9:00 - 9:15) Incident Wind Direction Effect on Plume Transport and Dispersion and Mean Wind and Turbulence Fields in an Urban Area: Evaluation of Joint Urban 2003 Field Experiment Data
 A. Gowardhan*, S. Pol & M. Brown
*Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM

(9:15 - 9:30) Validation of Urban Dispersion Models: How sensitive are Results with Respect to the Approach Flow Conditions?
I. Herbst*, B. Leitl & M. Schatzmann
*University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany

(9:30 - 9:45) Validation of Urban Dispersion Models: What do We Learn from the MUST Data?
F. Harms*, B. Leitl & M. Schatzmann
*University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany

(9:45 - 10:00) A Knowledge-Based Mesonet Siting/Installation Strategy in an Urban, Coastal Setting

J. Titlow
WeatherFlow Inc., Poquoson, VA

(10:00 - 10:30) Coffee Break

Session 6 - Urban Environment Monitoring & Data Analysis (Con't)
Session Chair - Steven R. Hanna (Harvard School of Public Health)



(10:30 - 10:45) Comparison of Wind and Turbulence Observations from DCNet Data
S. Chang*, G. Huynh & D. Garvey, W. Pendergrass
*Army Research Laboratory, Adelphi, MD

(10:45 - 11:00) Validation of Urban Dispersion Models: How Representative are Locally Measured Wind Velocities?
D. Repschies*, B. Leitl & M. Schatzmann
*University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany

(11:00 - 11:15) Analysis of Nocturnal Low-Level-Jet Generated Gravity Waves and Turbulence over Oklahoma City during JU2003
Y. Wang
Army Research Laboratory, Adelphi, MD

(11:15 - 11:30) A Comparison of Urban Plume Characteristics between a Fast Response Wind/Dispersion Model and an Eulerian/Semi-Lagrangian Model
R.-S. Sheu*, A. Wyszogrodzki & M. Brown
*National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO

(11:30 - 11:45) A Risk Assessment Study for the City of Istanbul
Z. Boybeyi* & Y. Ezber
*George Mason University, Fairfax, VA

(11:45 -12:00) Experimental Investigation of Contaminant Dispersion around a Cube for High Reynolds Numbers
 M. Irvine*, M. Money & A. Fontaine
*Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA

(12:00 - 12:15) Estimating Emissions of Toxic Industrial Chemicals (TICs) Released as a Result of Accidents or Sabotage
S. R. Hanna*, G. Lee, D. Belonger, P. J. Drivas, R. Britter & O. Hansen
*Hanna Consultants, Kennebunkport, ME

(12:15 - 1:30) Lunch Break

Special OFCM Session 7 - Challenges of Urban Test Beds
Session Chair - Walter Bach (Army Research Office)


Overview

User Perspectives

Research Perspectives

Summary


(3:15 - 3:45) Coffee Break


Session 8 - Unconventional Data Use in Transport & Dispersion Studies
Session Chair - Mike Brown (Los Alamos National Laboratory)


(3:45 - 4:00) Satellite-Based Aerodynamic Roughness for Improved Atmospheric Transport and Dispersion Modeling
M. F. Jasinski*, R. D. McKellip, J. K. Lundquist, S. Blonski, J. Borak, D. E. Holland & J. Spruce
*NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD

(4:00 - 4:15) Temporal Aerodynamic Roughness Fields Estimated From MODIS Data
J. S. Borak*, M. F. Jasinski & R. D. Crago
*NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD

(4:15 - 4:30) Validation of Urban Dispersion Models: Are There General Profiles for the Roughness Sub-Layer?
M. Schultz*, B. Leitl & M. Schatzmann
*University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany

(4:30 - 4:45) Plume Identification and Tracking Using Satellite Imaging
M. B Tayahi*, I. Sadri, W. Norris, J. A. Kleppe & M. Meinhold
*University of Nevada, Reno, NV

(4:45 - 5:00) The Impact of GEMS Meteorological Data on Plume Analyses
R. J. Evans*, J. Manobianco & J. Dreher
*ENSCO Inc., Melbourne, FL

(5:00 -5:15) Development of a High Altitude Transport and Dispersion Modeling Capability
J. Eluszkiewicz*, T. Nehrkorn, D. Weisenstein & S. Lowe
*AER Inc., Lexington, MA

(5:15 - 5:30) A Gaussian Dispersion Model Quantifying the Influence of Wind Shear on Pollution Plumes, Models and Measurements of Shear
C. J. Walcek
State University, NY, Albany

5:30 Adjourn, End of the Second Day
DAY 3, THURSDAY, AUG 3, 2006
(7:00 - All Day) Registration (Con't)
(7:00 - 9:00) Continental Breakfast

Session 9 - Model Evaluation Studies
Session Chair - Joseph Chang (George Mason University)


(8:30 - 8:45) Validation of Urban Dispersion Models: Can We Trust Field Data?
 M. Schatzmann* & B. Leitl
*University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany
 
(8:45 - 9:00) Validation of Urban Dispersion Models: Can We Trust Laboratory Data?

B. Leitl* & M. Schatzmann
*University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany

(9:00 - 9:15) Assessment of HPAC Urban Capabilities using Joint Urban 2003 Field Trial Data
J. T. Urban*, S. Warner, N. Platt & J. F. Heagy
*Institute for Defense Analyses, Alexandria, VA

(9:15 - 9:30) Validation of Urban Dispersion Models: How Sensitive are Validation Data with Regard to Averaging Time?
M. Rix*, B. Leitl & M. Schatzmann
*University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany

(9:30 - 9:45) Preliminary Results of DPG's Urban HPAC Evaluation Using JU2003 Data
J. M. White*, S. R. Hanna, C. L. Edgar & J. F. Bowers
*Dugway Proving Ground, Dugway, UT

(9:45 - 10:00) Evaluation of the Joint Effects Model (JEM) with Field Data
J. C. Chang*, H. Tang & Z. Boybeyi
*George Mason University, Fairfax, VA

(10:00 - 10:30) Coffee Break

Session 10 - Local-Scale Transport & Dispersion Studies
Session Chair - Ian Griffiths (Defence Science and Technology Laboratory)


(10:30 - 10:45) Measurements of Probability Density Functions of Ground Level Concentration in Urban Canopies
L. A. White*, P. Huq, A. Carrillo, S. Dharmavaram & S. R. Hanna
*University of Delaware, Newark, DE


(10:45 - 11:00) Micro SWIFT/SPRAY (MSS) Status
T. Harris*, C. Dougherty, J. Sontowski, Z. Boybeyi, J. Mousaffir, J. Commanay
*Science Applications International Corporation, Valley Forge, PA

(11:00 - 11:15) Turbulence at Street-Level in Built-Up Urban Downtown Areas
S. R. Hanna* & Y. Zhou
*Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA

(11:15 - 11:30) Development of a Buoyant Plume Rise Capability for QUIC Plume

M. D. Williams* & M. J. Brown
*Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM

(11:30 - 11:45) Numerical Simulations of Aerosol Transport
T. Yamada

Yamada Science & Art Corporation, Santa Fe, NM

(11:45 - 12:00) Turbulent Velocity Variances within Urban Roughness Sublayers

C. Klipp.
Army Research Laboratory, Adelphi, MD

(12:00 - 12:15) Development of Numerical Dispersion Model and its Application to Hazardous Gas Release in the Urban Area

A. Kouchi*, R. Ohba, T. Hara & C. J. Tremback
*Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Nagasaki, Japan

(12:15 - 1:30) Lunch Break

Session 11 - General Transport & Dispersion Studies
Session Chair - Jerry Allwine (Pacific Northwest National Laboratory)


(1:30 - 1:45) Deployable Plume and Aerosol Release Prediction and Tracking System
W. J. Norris*, J. A. Kleppe, M. Tayahi, M. Etezadi & D. Koracin
*University of Nevada, Reno, NV

(1:45 - 2:00) Effects of Urban Heat Islands on Atmospheric Boundary Layer Structures over the Greater Houston Area
M. Tewari*, F. Chen, H. Kusaka & J. Bao
*National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO

(2:00 - 2:15) Development and Utilization of the DPG Meteorology Divivion’s HPAC GUI
S. Halvorson*, B. Aronian & S. Krippner

*Dugway Proving Ground, Dugway, UT

(2:15 - 2:30) Evaluation of Boundary Layer Wind Analyses from a Four-Dimensional Variational Data Assimilation System during Joint Urban 2003
J. H Copeland*, J. Sun & T. T. Warner
*National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO

(2:30 - 2:45) 3D Movement of Aerosol Particles in a Wind Field
S. S. Kousoum
Cubic Defense Applications, Alexandria, VA

(2:45 - 3:00) Lagrangian PDF Methods for Turbulent Mixing in the Atmosphere
M. Cassiani*, J. D. Albertson & P. Franzese
*Duke University, Durham, NC


(3:00 - 3:15) DUSTRAN: A GIS-Based Atmospheric Dispersion Modeling System
J. Allwine*, F. C. Rutz, W. J. Shaw, J. P. Rishel, E. G. Chapman, B. G. Fritz & B. L. Hoopes
*Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA

(3:15 - 3:45) Coffee Break


Session 12 - General Transport & Dispersion Studies (Con't)
Session Chair - Zafer Boybeyi (George Mason University)


(3:45 - 4:00) Atmospheric Transport and Dispersion Associated with a Sea Breeze Front in an Urban Environment
W. T. Thompson*, T. Holt & J. Pullen

*Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA

(4:00 - 4:15) Shear Layer and Effective Surface Roughness of Uniform and Non-Uniform Urban Canopies
P. Huq*, L. A. White, A. Carrillo, S. Dharmavaram & S. R. Hanna
*University of Delaware, Newark, DE

(4:15 - 4:30) Industrial Chemical Release Threats: Estimating More than Toxic Threat Zones
D. Payton* & M. W. Miller
*NOAA, Silver Spring, MD

(4:30 - 4:45) US and UK Collaboration on CBRN Hazard Warning Systems
I. Griffiths*, A. Howe, N. Dathi, C. Wall, T. Smith & P. Cullen
*Defence Science and Technology Laboratory, United Kingdom

(4:45 - 5:00) A Fast Tracer Technique for Computing Concentration Variance
S. Diehl
ITT Industries, Colorado Springs, CO


(5:00 - 5:15) Large-Eddy Simulations of Urban Boundary Layers
A. Wyszogrodzki*, P. Smolarkiewicz, R. Scharman & J. Szmelter
*National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO


(5:30-6:30) Adjourn (End of Conference)

Poster Session


(P-1) New Satellite Data and Improvements to the Smoke Monitoring Capabilities of the Hazard Mapping System (HMS)
J. Simko*, M. Ruminski, J. Kibler, D. Streett, A. Prados & R. Draxler

*NOAA, Camp Springs, MD

(P-2) National Weather Service Eastern Region Climate Outreach Toolkit
P. Wnek
NOAA/National Weather Service, State College, PA

(P-3) On Using Data Assimilation in Dispersion Modeling
A. Beyer*, S. E. Haupt & G. S. Young
*The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA

(P-4) Fractal Vegetation Model for CFD Tools in Semi-Urban Area
S. Burkhart
DGA, France

(P-5) Back-Tracking of Idealized Dispersion in Semi-Urban Area
S. Burkhart* & J. P. Issartel
DGA, France


(P-6) CFD Simulations of Accidental Releases on Nuclear Plant
E. Demael* & B. Carissimo
*CEREA, France

(P-7) Development of a High Altitude Transport and Dispersion Modeling Capability
J. Eluszkiewicz*, T. Nehrkorn, D. Weisenstein & S. Lowe

*AER Inc., Lexington, MA

(P-8) Dispersion Uncertainty from Meteorological Sources
J. A. Lee*, L. J. Peltier, S. E. Haupt & J. C. Wyngaard
*Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA

(P-9) Implementation of the Dynamic Reconstruction Subfilter Turbulence Model and Immersed Boundary Method for Improved Large-Eddy Simulation of Flow over Complex Terrain
J. Mirocha*, F. K. Chow, K. A. Lundquist, J. K. Lundquist & S. T. Chan
*Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA

(P-10) Improving Contaminant Source Characterization by Optimizing Meteorological Data with a Genetic Algorithm
K. J. Long*, C. T. Allen, S. E. Haupt & G. S. Young
*Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA

(P-11) Sensitivity of SCIPUFF Concentration to Boundary Layer Height Calculation
M. A. Holmes, S. E. Haupt & G. S. Young
*Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA


(P-12) Flow and Dispersion About a Surface Mounted Cube: Zonal Detached Eddy Simulation vs. Watertunnel Measurements
R. Wilson, S. E. Haupt & L. J. Peltier
*Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA

(P-13) Possible Impact of Urbanization on Recent Hurricane Activities
D. Sun*, Z. Boybeyi & M. Kafatos
*George Mason University, Fairfax, VA